Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Albirex Niigata
43.9% ( -0.03)	26.01% ( -0.19)	30.08% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 52.45% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.32% (

0.85)

51.68% (

-0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.54% (

0.74)

73.46% (

-0.74)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57% (

0.35)

23.42% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.58% (

0.51)

57.42% (

-0.52)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49% (

0.6)

31.5% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1% (

0.69)

67.89% (

-0.69)

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 43.9%

Albirex Niigata 30.08%

Draw 26.01%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.9%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.08%