Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Albirex Niigata
42.58% ( 0.77)	27.31% ( -0.13)	30.1% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 48.52% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.26% (

0.26)

56.74% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31% (

0.21)

77.69% (

-0.21)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.65% (

0.53)

26.35% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.5% (

0.7)

61.5% (

-0.7)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.88% (

-0.33)

34.12% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.19% (

-0.36)

70.81% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 42.58%

Albirex Niigata 30.11%

Draw 27.31%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.58%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.11%