Kyoto Sanga

3 - 1

Sagan Tosu

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.59%) and 2-1 (7.51%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kyoto Sanga would win this match.