J1 League | Gameweek 3
Mar 6, 2022 at 5am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium
Nagoya Grampus1 - 1Sagan Tosu
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Cerezo
Saturday, May 14 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, May 14 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 21 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, May 21 at 6am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 |
5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 4-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, May 14 at 7am in J1 League
Saturday, May 14 at 7am in J1 League
Next Game: Sagan Tosu vs. Kawasaki
Saturday, May 21 at 9am in J1 League
Saturday, May 21 at 9am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
42.77% | 28.31% | 28.91% |
Both teams to score 45.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.3% | 60.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.23% | 80.77% |
Nagoya Grampus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.89% | 28.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.22% | 63.78% |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.83% | 37.17% |