Gamba Osaka

2 - 1

Sagan Tosu

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 48.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.