J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2024 at 6am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
Machida Zelvia3 - 1Sagan Tosu
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Sagan Tosu.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in J1 League
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Cerezo
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Machida Zelvia would win this match.
Result | ||
Machida Zelvia | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
49.69% ( 0.17) | 24.58% ( 0.02) | 25.73% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.62% ( -0.22) | 48.38% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.48% ( -0.2) | 70.52% ( 0.2) |
Machida Zelvia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.5% ( -0.02) | 19.5% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.63% ( -0.03) | 51.37% ( 0.03) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% ( -0.27) | 33.1% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.3% ( -0.3) | 69.7% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Machida Zelvia 49.69%
Sagan Tosu 25.73%
Draw 24.57%
Machida Zelvia | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.69% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 25.73% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-29 06:45:07
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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