International Friendly
Sep 23, 2022 at 6pm UK
BMO Field
Qatar0 - 2Canada
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Honduras 2-1 Canada
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
We said: Canada 2-1 Qatar
Friday's fixture could tell us a lot about how these teams are looking heading into the World Cup, and they should be a good match for one another. Both know how to buckle down and hold a lead, but we are giving the Canadians an edge because they have more proven attacking talent who have performed consistently well both internationally and in some of the most competitive leagues in Europe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Canada had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Qatar |
34.67% ( 0.07) | 27.53% ( -0.03) | 37.8% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.16% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.48% ( 0.11) | 56.52% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.49% ( 0.09) | 77.51% ( -0.09) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( 0.1) | 30.84% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.88% ( 0.12) | 67.12% ( -0.12) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( 0.03) | 28.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.22% ( 0.03) | 64.78% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Canada 34.66%
Qatar 37.8%
Draw 27.52%
| Canada | Draw | Qatar |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.8% |
How you voted: Canada vs Qatar
Canada
76.2%Draw
17.1%Qatar
6.7%105
