MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:46:51| >> :60:358:358:
Qatar national football team
International Friendly
Sep 23, 2022 at 6pm UK
BMO Field
Canada national football team

Qatar
0 - 2
Canada


Al-Rawi (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Larin (4'), David (13')
Vitoria (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's International Friendlies clash between Canada and Qatar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

Last Six:
Last Game: Honduras 2-1 Canada
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Qatar

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Qatar 1-1 Jamaica
Friday, August 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies

We said: Canada 2-1 Qatar

 Friday's fixture could tell us a lot about how these teams are looking heading into the World Cup, and they should be a good match for one another. Both know how to buckle down and hold a lead, but we are giving the Canadians an edge because they have more proven attacking talent who have performed consistently well both internationally and in some of the most competitive leagues in Europe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Canada had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.

Result
CanadaDrawQatar
34.67% (0.073 0.07) 27.53% (-0.029 -0.03) 37.8% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.16% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.48% (0.113 0.11)56.52% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.49% (0.091999999999999 0.09)77.51% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (0.102 0.1)30.84% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88% (0.121 0.12)67.12% (-0.12400000000001 -0.12)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (0.025999999999996 0.03)28.9% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (0.033999999999999 0.03)64.78% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Canada 34.66%
    Qatar 37.8%
    Draw 27.52%
CanadaDrawQatar
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 11.06% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.8%

How you voted: Canada vs Qatar

Canada
76.2%
Draw
17.1%
Qatar
6.7%
105
rhs 2.0
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