Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 84.19%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 4.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.29%) and 1-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.31%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for England in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for England.