Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Wembley Stadium

England
2 - 0
Malta

Pepe (8' og.), Kane (75')
Tomori (26'), Kane (28')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mbong (23'), Guillaumier (39')

Gareth Southgate plays down Marcus Rashford injury concerns

England manager Gareth Southgate plays down claims that Marcus Rashford could be set for a spell on the sidelines with the issue that forced him off against Malta.

Nov 18, 12:19

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: England 3-1 Italy
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	6	16	16
2	Ukraine	7	3	13
3	Italy	6	4	10
4	North Macedonia	6	-7	7
5	Malta	7	-16	0

Malta

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Malta 1-3 Ukraine
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	6	16	16
2	Ukraine	7	3	13
3	Italy	6	4	10
4	North Macedonia	6	-7	7
5	Malta	7	-16	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 84.19%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 4.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.29%) and 1-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.31%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for England in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for England.

Result
England	Draw	Malta
84.19% ( 0.8)	11.26% ( -0.33)	4.54% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 37.61% (

-2.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.81% (

-0.89)

36.19% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.69% (

-0.98)

58.3% (

0.98)

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.76% (

-0.02)

6.23% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.46% (

-0.05)

23.53% (

0.04)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.11% (

-2.46)

59.88% (

2.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.41% (

-1.31)

90.59% (

1.31)

Score Analysis

England 84.18%

Malta 4.54%

Draw 11.26%

England	Draw	Malta
2-0 @ 14.37% ( 0.6) 3-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.54) 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.44) 4-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.26) 5-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.21) 6-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.15) 7-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 84.18%	1-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.33% Total : 11.26%	0-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.27% Total : 4.54%