Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Red Star Belgrade win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
