With far more to play for and a more impressive record on the continent this season, we back Hapoel Be'er Sheva to do their part and take a first three-point haul on Thursday, while hoping Lech Poznan slip up to allow them to take second spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.

Result
Hapoel Be'er Sheva	Draw	Austria Vienna
40.16% ( -0.04)	27.69% ( 0.02)	32.15% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.16% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.45% (

-0.07)

57.55% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.67% (

-0.05)

78.33% (

0.06)

Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95% (

-0.06)

28.05% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.3% (

-0.07)

63.7% (

0.08)

Austria Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.93% (

-0.02)

33.07% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.34% (

-0.02)

69.66% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Be'er Sheva 40.16%

Austria Vienna 32.15%

Draw 27.69%

Hapoel Be'er Sheva	Draw	Austria Vienna
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 40.16%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.15%