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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 23, 2020 at 7pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Gillingham

Stoke
1 - 0
Gillingham

Campbell (37')
McClean (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maghoma (90'), Jackson (90')

The Match

Match Report

The striker settled the Carabao Cup tie which the Potters won 1-0.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round tie between Stoke City and Gillingham, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawGillingham
42.12%27.18%30.7%
Both teams to score 49.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.98%56.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.89%77.1%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74%26.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62%61.37%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69%33.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08%69.92%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 42.11%
    Gillingham 30.7%
    Draw 27.17%
Stoke CityDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 11.69%
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 7.82%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 42.11%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.75%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 9.62%
1-2 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.7%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2005 3pm
Gillingham
2-1
Stoke
McEveley (2'), Smith (70')
Flynn (77'), Smith (78')
Jones (54')
Brammer (47'), Taggart (78'), Duberry (82')
Aug 21, 2004 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Gillingham
Noel-Williams (42'), Akinbiyi (72')
Halls (40')

Hills (27')
rhs 2.0
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