Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.