Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.