Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Apr 5, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Mansiche

Cesar Vallejo
1 - 2
LDU Quito

Velez (70' pen.)
Garces (45')
Velez (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alzugaray (52'), Anangono (90+6')
Quinonez (10'), Zubeldia (11'), Ade (62'), Piovi (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cesar Vallejo and LDU Quito.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cesar Vallejo

Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 3-1 Binacional
Thursday, March 9 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana

LDU Quito

Last Game: LDU Quito 4-0 Delfin
Wednesday, March 8 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 50.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Cesar Vallejo	Draw	LDU Quito
50.7% ( -1.35)	24.9% ( 0.45)	24.39% ( 0.89)

Both teams to score 51.53% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.19% (

-1.03)

50.8% (

1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.3% (

-0.92)

72.69% (

0.92)

Cesar Vallejo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.95% (

-0.94)

20.04% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.74% (

-1.54)

52.25% (

1.54)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.44% (

0.23)

35.55% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.67% (

0.24)

72.32% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Cesar Vallejo 50.7%

LDU Quito 24.39%

Draw 24.9%

Cesar Vallejo	Draw	LDU Quito
1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.7%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.97% Total : 24.39%