Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 62.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Delfin had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Delfin win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.