Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 19, 2022 at 1.30am UK

LDU Quito
2 - 2
Defensa

Quinteros (5'), Angulo (71')
Alvarado (47'), Ayala (75')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Albertengo (29', 44')
Cardona (12'), Alanis (45+1'), Albertengo (66'), Duarte (77'), Pieres (90+2')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between LDU Quito and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

Last Game: LDU Quito 1-1 Atletico GO
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
37.36% ( -0.09)	24.13% ( 0)	38.52% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 61% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.52% (

-0)

41.48% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.12%

63.88% (

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81% (

-0.05)

22.19% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.4% (

-0.07)

55.6% (

0.07)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.39% (

0.05)

21.61% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.29% (

0.07)

54.71% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 37.36%

Defensa y Justicia 38.52%

Draw 24.13%

LDU Quito	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.36%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.13%	1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.52%