Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	LDU Quito
43.48%	25.56%	30.96%

Both teams to score 54.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.55%

49.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.51%

71.49%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34%

22.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.7%

56.3%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.24%

29.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.17%

65.83%

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 43.48%

LDU Quito 30.96%

Draw 25.56%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	LDU Quito
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 4.46% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.48%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.56%	0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 2% Other @ 3.3% Total : 30.96%