Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2022 at 3am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Tolima1 - 0Independiente
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportes Tolima and Independiente del Valle.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Tolima
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Tolima vs. Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente 3-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Independiente vs. Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Deportes Tolima in this match.
Result | ||
Deportes Tolima | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
37.93% | 25.77% | 36.3% |
Both teams to score 55.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.85% | 49.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.78% | 71.22% |
Deportes Tolima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% | 25.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.84% | 60.16% |
Independiente del Valle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.72% | 26.28% |