Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 26, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Municipal Ruminahui

Independiente
3 - 0
America Mineiro

Sornoza (17'), Gaibor (43'), Chavez (74')
Gaibor (68'), Perlaza (68'), Chavez (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Almeida (68'), Eder (70'), Alberto (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Independiente del Valle and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

Last Game: Independiente 3-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Independiente vs. Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Independiente del Valle 2-1 America Mineiro

The hosts have already exhibited their supremacy over the away side once, and we are backing them to do it again, albeit by a much narrower margin this time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 43.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 28.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result
Independiente del Valle	Draw	America Mineiro
43.6% ( -0.03)	28.24% ( -0.04)	28.15% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 44.96% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.24% (

0.14)

60.76% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.19% (

0.1)

80.81% (

-0.11)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.31% (

0.05)

27.69% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.75% (

0.07)

63.24% (

-0.07)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.18% (

0.12)

37.81% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.41% (

0.12)

74.59% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Independiente del Valle 43.6%

America Mineiro 28.15%

Draw 28.23%

Independiente del Valle	Draw	America Mineiro
1-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 43.6%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.23%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.15%