Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 26, 2021 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Tolima
1 - 2
Bragantino

Fernando Caicedo (37')
Narvaez (17'), Pablo Nieto (39'), Celis (44'), Fernando Caicedo (76'), Angulo (87')
Celis (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ytalo (41'), Evangelista (80')
Candido (43'), Helinho (64'), Ortiz (90+5')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportes Tolima and Bragantino.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 39.97%. A draw had a probability of 33.2% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (6.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.58%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Deportes Tolima	Draw	Bragantino
39.97%	33.24%	26.79%

Both teams to score 33.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

25.28%

74.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

9.89%

90.1%

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.78%

37.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.99%

74%

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.75%

47.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.33%

82.67%

Score Analysis

Deportes Tolima 39.97%

Bragantino 26.78%

Draw 33.23%

Deportes Tolima	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 17.38% 2-0 @ 8.59% 2-1 @ 6.44% 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-1 @ 2.12% Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.97%	0-0 @ 17.58% 1-1 @ 13.03% 2-2 @ 2.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 33.23%	0-1 @ 13.18% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-2 @ 4.89% 0-3 @ 1.24% 1-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.32% Total : 26.78%

Head to Head

Apr 22, 2021 11.15pm

Group Stage

Bragantino

2-1

Tolima

Castrillon (10' og.), Ytalo (45'), Mosquera (90+4' pen.)
Balanta (11'), Helinho (28'), Estaban Trujillo Riascos (56'), Ryller (79'), David Rios (88'), Quinones (90+7')

Form Guide

Bragantino 2-1 Tolima

Deportivo Cali 0-0 Tolima

Talleres 0-1 Bragantino

Bragantino 2-0 Emelec

Bragantino 0-1 Talleres

Emelec 3-0 Bragantino

Bragantino 2-1 Tolima