Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 8, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Tolima1 - 1Emelec
Mosquera (22' pen.)
Campaz (12'), Balanta (45+1'), Narvaez (46'), David Rios (87')
Campaz (12'), Balanta (45+1'), Narvaez (46'), David Rios (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportes Tolima and Emelec.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Emelec had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Emelec win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Emelec |
| 39.56% | 26.75% | 33.69% |
| Both teams to score 51.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
