Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 6, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio George Capwell
Emelec2 - 0Macara
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Emelec and Macara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Macara had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Macara win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emelec would win this match.
Result | ||
Emelec | Draw | Macara |
40.76% | 24.23% | 35% |
Both teams to score 60.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.74% | 42.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.34% | 64.66% |
Emelec Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.13% | 20.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.43% | 53.56% |
Macara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% | 23.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.05% | 57.95% |
Score Analysis |
Emelec 40.76%
Macara 35%
Draw 24.23%
Emelec | Draw | Macara |
2-1 @ 8.75% 1-0 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.76% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-1 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.98% Total : 35% |
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2021 10.15pm
First Round
Macara
2-2
Emelec
Muriel Orlando (26'), Adonis Santacruz Campos (90')
Calderon (16'), Paul Hernandez Porozo (24'), Arlen Portocarrero Rodriguez (30'), Adonis Santacruz Campos (48')
Calderon (16'), Paul Hernandez Porozo (24'), Arlen Portocarrero Rodriguez (30'), Adonis Santacruz Campos (48')
Barcelo (20'), Zapata Alvarez (34')
Zapata Alvarez (18'), Sanchez (45+2'), Josimar Rojas Lopez (73'), Barcelo (81'), Ortiz (84')
Zapata Alvarez (18'), Sanchez (45+2'), Josimar Rojas Lopez (73'), Barcelo (81'), Ortiz (84')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-30 15:20:03
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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