Emelec
1 - 2
Santa Fe

Barcelo (63')
Bagui (15'), Mejia (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cabrera (22'), Marquez (76' pen.)
Canete (11'), Blasi (13'), Nani (56'), Troyansky (58'), Manuel Garcia (64'), Vera (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Emelec and Santa Fe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Emelec	Draw	Santa Fe
49.85%	26.45%	23.7%

Both teams to score 46.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.79%

57.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.94%

78.07%

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97%

23.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.14%

56.86%

Santa Fe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.26%

39.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.58%

76.42%

Score Analysis

Emelec 49.85%

Santa Fe 23.7%

Draw 26.45%

Emelec	Draw	Santa Fe
1-0 @ 13.44% 2-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.85%	1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.45% 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.29% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.38% Total : 23.7%