Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.