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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Norwich logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Norwich

Seung-ho (55')
Sunjic (76'), James (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Norwich City

Birmingham have a way of escaping relegation at the last moment, and we reckon that it could be another memorable day at St Andrew's for the hosts. Norwich's away record has been poor this term, and with the playoffs essentially confirmed, there could be a drop in performance levels from the Canaries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawNorwich City
35.21% (-0.591 -0.59) 25.12% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 39.67% (0.593 0.59)
Both teams to score 57.16% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64% (-0.073 -0.07)46.36% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)68.64% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (-0.372 -0.37)25.59% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (-0.511 -0.51)60.46% (0.511 0.51)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (0.267 0.27)23.18% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.92% (0.39100000000001 0.39)57.07% (-0.39 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 35.21%
    Norwich City 39.67%
    Draw 25.11%
Birmingham CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.21%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 8.67% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.21% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.09% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.037 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 39.67%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Norwich

Birmingham City
46.9%
Draw
14.3%
Norwich City
38.8%
49
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Norwich
2-0
Birmingham
Sara (55'), Rowe (60')
Sara (65')

Long (83')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
3-1
Birmingham
Nunez (27', 36'), Tzolis (90+4')
Colin (53')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Birmingham
1-2
Norwich
Hogan (50')
Omobamidele (63'), Hernandez (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Norwich
2-2
Birmingham
(Aggregate 2-2 | Norwich win 4-2 on penalties)
Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
1-3
Norwich
Sanchez (39')
Hogan (68'), Clarke-Salter (84')
Pukki (26', 76'), Skipp (90+5')
Zimmermann (19'), Vrancic (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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