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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Ipswich logo

Norwich
1 - 0
Ipswich

Nunez (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tuanzebe (31')

The Match

Match Report

Norwich City claim a narrow 1-0 victory over bitter rivals Ipswich Town to boost their hopes of securing a Championship playoff place.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 3-1 Norwich
Monday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Southampton
Monday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawIpswich Town
46.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.08% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 29.1% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76% (0.0040000000000049 0)66.23% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (0.0040000000000049 0)18.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (0.007000000000005 0.01)50.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.21% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.09% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.9% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 46.82%
    Ipswich Town 29.1%
    Draw 24.07%
Norwich CityDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.1%

How you voted: Norwich vs Ipswich

Norwich City
30.9%
Draw
19.1%
Ipswich Town
50.0%
68
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 22
Ipswich
2-2
Norwich
Broadhead (34'), Burns (60')
Burns (77'), Woolfenden (90+6')
Rowe (40', 49')
Feb 10, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 31
Norwich
3-0
Ipswich
Hernandez (2'), Pukki (65', 80')
Lewis (60'), Trybull (76'), Stiepermann (79'), Cantwell (90')

Skuse (32'), Nolan (45'), Downes (90')
Sep 2, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 6
Ipswich
1-1
Norwich
Edwards (57')
Chambers (26'), Graham (42')
Leitner (71')
Godfrey (49')
Feb 18, 2018 12pm
Norwich
1-1
Ipswich
Klose (90')
Leitner (58')
Chambers (89')
Garner (55'), Skuse (65'), Connolly (67'), Waghorn (80'), Spence (82')
Oct 22, 2017 12pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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