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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
22.07% ( -0.05) | 22.9% ( -0.03) | 55.02% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.09% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.26% ( 0.07) | 44.74% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.9% ( 0.07) | 67.1% ( -0.07) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.7% ( -0) | 34.3% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.99% ( -0) | 71.01% ( 0) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.86% ( 0.05) | 16.14% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.42% ( 0.09) | 45.57% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 22.07% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.21% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 55.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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