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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Leverkusen logo

Union Berlin
1 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Woo-yeong (29')
Rothe (28'), Querfeld (63'), Trimmel (67'), Mukiele (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Frimpong (2'), Schick (71')
Andrich (21'), Skov (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Salzburg
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Following their resounding victory in the Champions League, Leverkusen will come into Saturday's match full of confidence. Though Union Berlin boast a strong home record, the visitors have also been resilient on the road, and it would not be surprising if they claimed all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
22.07% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 22.9% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 55.02% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.09% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07)44.74% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.069000000000003 0.07)67.1% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.3% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)71.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86% (0.051999999999992 0.05)16.14% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.42% (0.091999999999999 0.09)45.57% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 22.07%
    Bayer Leverkusen 55.01%
    Draw 22.9%
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 22.07%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 10.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.6% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.73% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 55.01%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs B. Leverkusen

Union Berlin
9.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bayer Leverkusen
75.0%
100
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Union Berlin
0-1
B. Leverkusen

Gosens (9'), Tousart (37')
Gosens (45+3')
Wirtz (45+8' pen.)
Adli (64'), Andrich (82')
Nov 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
B. Leverkusen
4-0
Union Berlin
Grimaldo (23'), Odilon (57'), Tah (73'), Tella (83')

Ronnow (74')
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Nov 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
B. Leverkusen
5-0
Union Berlin
Andrich (46'), Diaby (56', 58'), Hlozek (68'), Bakker (76')
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Union Berlin
Schick (38'), Tah (84')
Tah (59')
Promel (45', 50')
Trimmel (31'), Friedrich (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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