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Leverkusen logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
Elversberg

Schick (2', 9'), Garcia (36')
Tapsoba (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Pinckert (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Elversberg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 26 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Elversberg

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Elversberg 4-2 Hamburger SV
Saturday, October 26 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 Elversberg

 While Bayer Leverkusen could concede on Tuesday given their poor defensive record of late, it is difficult to see how Elversberg can topple the Bundesliga champions. The hosts are still formidable from an offensive perspective, and even if the visitors were to defend deep in their own half, it would not be surprising if Alonso's side won by multiple goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 76.07%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Elversberg had a probability of 9.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a Elversberg win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawElversberg
76.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 14.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01) 9.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.72% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)30.19% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.59% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.44% (0.007000000000005 0.01)6.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.57% (0.016999999999996 0.02)24.44% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Elversberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.57% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)41.44% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)77.94% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 76.07%
    Elversberg 9.55%
    Draw 14.38%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawElversberg
2-0 @ 10.08%
3-0 @ 9.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 8.07%
1-0 @ 7.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 6.24% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 3.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.54% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 76.07%
1-1 @ 6.53% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 2.72%
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.38%
1-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 9.55%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Elversberg

Bayer Leverkusen
90.4%
Draw
6.0%
Elversberg
3.6%
83
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 2.31pm
First Round
Elversberg
4-3
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Diaby (64'), Demirbay (90+5')
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