![Santos Santos](https://sm.imgix.net/19/14/sanlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
![Goias Goias](https://sm.imgix.net/19/14/goilog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Santos4 - 3Goias
We said: Santos 1-0 Goias
Given Santos' repeated shortcomings in the final third and Goias' well-documented phobia of scoring on the road, a goal-laden contest may not be on any fan's bingo card this weekend. Turra's side certainly need to start picking up results soon before the crisis sets in - if it has not already - but with a couple more days of rest, Santos and their fresh legs can finally pull themselves out of their rut and avoid another Emerald Green beating courtesy of a slender win, however ugly it may be. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Goias had a probability of 17.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
Result | ||
Santos | Draw | Goias |
57.39% (![]() | 24.87% (![]() | 17.74% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.28% (![]() | 57.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.53% (![]() | 78.47% (![]() |
Santos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.91% (![]() | 20.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.67% (![]() | 52.33% (![]() |
Goias Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.52% (![]() | 46.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.91% (![]() | 82.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Santos 57.37%
Goias 17.74%
Draw 24.87%
Santos | Draw | Goias |
1-0 @ 14.98% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.02% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.89% ( ![]() Other @ 3.35% Total : 57.37% | 1-1 @ 11.48% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.34% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.53% ( ![]() Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.15% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 1.43% Total : 17.74% |
How you voted: Santos vs Goias
Santos
44.4%Draw
22.2%Goias
33.3%9
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2022 12am
May 15, 2022 11pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-20 09:32:44
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1
![Denmark vs. England - prediction, team news, lineups Denmark vs. England - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Denmark vs. England - prediction, team news, lineups
2
![Slovenia vs. Serbia - prediction, team news, lineups Slovenia vs. Serbia - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Slovenia vs. Serbia - prediction, team news, lineups
3
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4
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Nagelsmann says Germany must 'keep the fans dreaming'
5
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6
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7
![Man Utd put their foot down with 'realistic' Branthwaite demand amid £70m claims Man Utd put their foot down with 'realistic' Branthwaite demand amid £70m claims](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
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8
![Chelsea on Euro 2024 scouting mission as two goalkeeper transfers 'considered' Chelsea on Euro 2024 scouting mission as two goalkeeper transfers 'considered'](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Chelsea on Euro 2024 scouting mission as two goalkeeper transfers 'considered'
9
![Thursday's Euro 2024 predictions including Denmark vs. England Thursday's Euro 2024 predictions including Denmark vs. England](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Thursday's Euro 2024 predictions including Denmark vs. England
10
![Euro 2024 projected last 16 ties - who is on course to reach the knockouts? Euro 2024 projected last 16 ties - who is on course to reach the knockouts?](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
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