Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 16, 2021 at 11pm UK
Arena Conda
Chapecoense1 - 2Fortaleza
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 42.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 28.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 1-0 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chapecoense | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 28.51% | 28.74% | 42.76% |
| Both teams to score 43.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
