Chapecoense

1 - 1

Sao Paulo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.