Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.