Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.