Fortaleza
1 - 0
Sport

Paulista (80' pen.)
Titi (37'), Carlinhos (48'), David (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lourenco Louzer Filho (31'), Roberto Moccelin (35'), Ricardinho (43'), Maidana (79')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Sport Recife, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Sport Recife
55.17%	24.62%	20.21%

Both teams to score 47.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.1%

53.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.64%

75.36%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.54%

19.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.68%

51.32%

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.61%

41.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.1%

77.9%

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 55.16%

Sport Recife 20.21%

Draw 24.62%

Fortaleza	Draw	Sport Recife
1-0 @ 13.18% 2-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 5.19% 4-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.16%	1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 8.06% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 7.11% 1-2 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 3.14% 1-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.17% Total : 20.21%