Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 70.64%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 10.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.05%) and 3-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.