MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 03:40:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Gremio

Athletico PR
0 - 2
Gremio


Gamarra (17'), Cuello (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Martins (18'), Monsalve (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Gremio
Thursday, August 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-2 Gremio

While Gremio continue to battle the drop and have a very poor away record this season, they have begun to show signs of life in recent weeks, and we feel they will continue their upward trajectory by claiming a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawGremio
53.74% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24) 25.01% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 21.25% (0.155 0.15)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.8% (-0.132 -0.13)54.2% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.39% (-0.112 -0.11)75.61% (0.107 0.11)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.148 -0.15)20.15% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (-0.236 -0.24)52.43% (0.232 0.23)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.54% (0.085000000000001 0.09)40.46% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.93% (0.076999999999998 0.08)77.07% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 53.73%
    Gremio 21.25%
    Draw 25%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawGremio
1-0 @ 13.05%
2-0 @ 10.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 53.73%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Gremio

Athletico Paranaense
48.3%
Draw
41.4%
Gremio
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 2
Gremio
2-0
Athletico PR
Cristaldo (19'), Soteldo (51')
Nunes (71')

Santana (33'), Vitor (59'), Esquivel (71')
Oct 18, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 27
Gremio
1-2
Athletico PR
Besozzi (7')
Suarez (44'), Reinaldo (58')
Reinaldo (90+7')
Zapelli (38'), Rocha (90+4')
Canobbio (25'), Santana (53'), Heleno (57'), Esquivel (73'), Cuello (85'), Rocha (90+5')
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Athletico PR
1-2
Gremio
Roque (34')
Bueno (55'), Heleno (76')
Cuiabano (31'), Uvini (49')
Adriel (55'), Reinaldo (56'), Henrique (90+6'), Martins (90+8')
Sep 26, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 22
Athletico PR
4-2
Gremio
Rocha (31', 45+1'), Kayzer (55', 61')
Ivaldo (67')
Thiago (59'), Vanderson (84')
Ruan (65'), Borja (66'), Costa (90+1'), Rafinha (90+3'), Sarara (90+4')
Jun 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Gremio
0-1
Athletico PR

Henrique (34'), Thiago (60'), Rafinha (65'), Ferreira (90+6'), Souza (90+7')
Babi (44')
Christian (11'), Babi (50'), Richard (87'), Khellven (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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