MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:55:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Gremio

Juventude
3 - 0
Gremio

Gilberto (25'), Lucas (32'), Erick (83')
Barbosa (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pavon (69'), Reinaldo (78'), Martins (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventude

All competitions
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Last Game: Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Juventude 1-1 Gremio

 Following back-to-back away defeats, Juventude will be looking forward to returning to their home patch where they are yet to taste defeat this season. However, Gremio have been notably improved over the last couple of weeks and taking a point off the defending champions last time out would have done wonders for their confidence. This looks like a very even contest on paper and we feel these sides will have to settle for a share of the spoils at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.

Result
JuventudeDrawGremio
40.4% (1.219 1.22) 28.04% (-0.314 -0.31) 31.56% (-0.901 -0.9)
Both teams to score 46.99% (0.644 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.06% (0.92 0.92)58.94% (-0.916 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58% (0.707 0.71)79.42% (-0.70299999999999 -0.7)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (1.151 1.15)28.58% (-1.147 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (1.418 1.42)64.37% (-1.414 -1.41)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.78% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)34.22% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (-0.173 -0.17)70.91% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Juventude 40.39%
    Gremio 31.55%
    Draw 28.04%
JuventudeDrawGremio
1-0 @ 12.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.203 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.222 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.191 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 1% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 40.39%
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.342 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 10.48% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 31.55%

How you voted: Juventude vs Gremio

Juventude
48.1%
Draw
40.7%
Gremio
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 27
Gremio
3-2
Juventude
Costa (23'), Souza (24'), Villasanti (56')
Silva (86')
Vinicios (59'), Roberson (90+4')
Castilho (42'), Roberson (79'), Santos (89')
> Preview
Jul 1, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 8
Juventude
2-0
Gremio
Paulinho (28'), Peixoto (83')
Elton (71'), Chico (82'), Mendes (90+3')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2020 12.30am
Round of 16
Juventude
0-1
Gremio
Dalberto (18')
Isaque (37'), (85')
Oct 30, 2020 12.30am
Round of 16
Gremio
1-0
Juventude
Paulo (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


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