Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.