Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 9.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.89%) and 3-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.18%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 21.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.