MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:28:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 20, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Comendador Agostinho Prada
Gremio

Fortaleza
1 - 0
Gremio

Martin Lucero (42' pen.)
Augusto (33'), Martin Lucero (90+5'), Calebe (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marchesin (45+8'), Ely (45+4'), Edenilson (81'), Reinaldo (90+5')
Pepe (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 5-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-2 Botafogo
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Gremio

 The 2024 season has been a total nightmare for Gremio so far, as they find themselves without a home ground and missing several players due to international duty and injury. While Fortaleza have certainly not set the league alight themselves this term, they are still unbeaten at home and we feel they will be able to edge a victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawGremio
54.48% (-0.32700000000001 -0.33) 24.21% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 21.31% (0.382 0.38)
Both teams to score 49.94% (0.693 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.93% (0.648 0.65)51.07% (-0.648 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.07% (0.565 0.56)72.92% (-0.56599999999999 -0.57)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.12100000000001 0.12)18.65% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (0.20200000000001 0.2)49.97% (-0.205 -0.2)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (0.761 0.76)38.61% (-0.762 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (0.716 0.72)75.35% (-0.717 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 54.47%
    Gremio 21.31%
    Draw 24.2%
FortalezaDrawGremio
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 21.31%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Gremio

Fortaleza
78.6%
Draw
21.4%
Gremio
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Fortaleza
1-1
Gremio
Galhardo (44' pen.)
Marcelo (90+6')
Suarez (80')
Nathan (59'), Besozzi (74')
May 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Gremio
0-0
Fortaleza
Oct 14, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 26
Fortaleza
1-0
Gremio
Pikachu (79')
Robson (45+3'), Felipe (89')

Ruan (81'), Everton (90+4')
> Preview
Jun 28, 2021 12am
Gameweek 7
Gremio
0-0
Fortaleza
> Preview
Jan 10, 2021 12am
Gameweek 29
Fortaleza
0-0
Gremio
Derley (45+4'), Paulao (51'), Felipe (57'), Paulista (72')
Silva (38'), Doin (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


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