MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 13:43:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Fluminense

Gremio
1 - 0
Fluminense

Nunes (61')
Geromel (36'), Moreira (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cano (39'), Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez (52')
Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico GO 1-1 Gremio
Thursday, June 27 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 0-1 Vitoria
Thursday, June 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Gremio 1-0 Fluminense

This one is difficult to call due to both sides' mediocre starts to the new campaign. However, the smart bet is on Gremio to record their seventh straight win over Fluminense, having outscored the visitors 9-3 in the previous six encounters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 49.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
GremioDrawFluminense
49.01% (-0.293 -0.29) 26.4% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 24.6% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 47.37% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.64% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)56.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.62% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)77.39% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (-0.139 -0.14)23.06% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (-0.206 -0.21)56.89% (0.209 0.21)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.56% (0.212 0.21)38.44% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.81% (0.2 0.2)75.19% (-0.197 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 49%
    Fluminense 24.6%
    Draw 26.4%
GremioDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 49%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 24.6%

How you voted: Gremio vs Fluminense

Gremio
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Fluminense
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Fluminense
2-3
Gremio
Arias (34' pen.), Kennedy (81')
Andre (36'), Nino (45+5'), Kennedy (72')
Suarez (43', 64'), Galdino (45')
Ely (32'), Reinaldo (36'), Kannemann (45+4')
Aug 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Gremio
2-1
Fluminense
Bitello (25'), Ferreira (45+1')
Villasanti (42'), Da Silva (46'), Suarez (82')
Cano (19')
Santos (27'), Xavier (30'), Diniz (32'), Danielzinho (57'), Andre (73')
Nov 10, 2021 12.30am
Jul 18, 2021 1am
Gameweek 12
Fluminense
0-1
Gremio
Lucca (77')
Henrique (42'), Kannemann (46'), Pyerre (90+8')
Nov 8, 2020 11.30pm
Gameweek 20
Fluminense
0-1
Gremio
Pepe (28')
(90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo32207552262667
2PalmeirasPalmeiras32187753272661
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo32177851371458
5InternacionalInternacional321511644281656
6Sao Paulo321661045331254
7Bahia32137124240246
8Cruzeiro32128123634244
9Vasco da GamaVasco32127133646-1043
10Atletico Mineiro311011104246-441
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Corinthians32911123740-338
14Fluminense32107152834-637
15CriciumaCriciuma32910133846-837
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3267192450-2625


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