MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:52:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Fluminense

Gremio
1 - 0
Fluminense

Nunes (61')
Geromel (36'), Moreira (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cano (39'), Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez (52')
Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-1 Gremio
Thursday, June 27 at 12am in Brasileiro

Fluminense

All competitions
Last Game: Fluminense 0-1 Vitoria
Thursday, June 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Gremio 1-0 Fluminense

 This one is difficult to call due to both sides' mediocre starts to the new campaign. However, the smart bet is on Gremio to record their seventh straight win over Fluminense, having outscored the visitors 9-3 in the previous six encounters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 49.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
GremioDrawFluminense
49.01% (-0.293 -0.29) 26.4% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 24.6% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 47.37% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.64% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)56.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.62% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)77.39% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (-0.139 -0.14)23.06% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (-0.206 -0.21)56.89% (0.209 0.21)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.56% (0.212 0.21)38.44% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.81% (0.2 0.2)75.19% (-0.197 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 49%
    Fluminense 24.6%
    Draw 26.4%
GremioDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 49%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 24.6%

How you voted: Gremio vs Fluminense

Gremio
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Fluminense
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Fluminense
2-3
Gremio
Arias (34' pen.), Kennedy (81')
Andre (36'), Nino (45+5'), Kennedy (72')
Suarez (43', 64'), Galdino (45')
Ely (32'), Reinaldo (36'), Kannemann (45+4')
Aug 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Gremio
2-1
Fluminense
Bitello (25'), Ferreira (45+1')
Villasanti (42'), Da Silva (46'), Suarez (82')
Cano (19')
Santos (27'), Xavier (30'), Diniz (32'), Danielzinho (57'), Andre (73')
Nov 10, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 31
Gremio
1-0
Fluminense
> Preview
Jul 18, 2021 1am
Gameweek 12
Fluminense
0-1
Gremio
Lucca (77')
Henrique (42'), Kannemann (46'), Pyerre (90+8')
> Preview
Nov 8, 2020 11.30pm
Gameweek 20
Fluminense
0-1
Gremio
Pepe (28')
(90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


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