Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
Jul 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio3 - 1Operario PR
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Cruzeiro
Wednesday, July 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, July 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Operario PR 0-2 America Mineiro
Thursday, March 5 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, March 5 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
We said: Gremio 1-0 Operario Ferroviario (Gremio win 1-0 on aggregate)
Despite their struggles this season, Gremio still possess plenty of quality in their ranks and should be good enough to beat second-tier opposition this weekend. Operario Ferroviario will look to stay in the contest as long as possible, but we feel that they will come up fractionally short on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Operario Ferroviario had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Operario Ferroviario win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Operario Ferroviario |
53.84% ( -2.01) | 24.46% ( 0.38) | 21.69% ( 1.64) |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( 1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
