MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:11:01| >> :120:11517:11517:
Corinthians
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena Corinthians
Gremio

Corinthians
0 - 0
Gremio


Ramalho (81')
Raniele (54')
FT

Marchesin (50'), Geromel (60'), Jemerson (70')
Nunes (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Corinthians and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 2-1 Gremio

 Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture over the years, and we expect Thursday's affair to be no different. That said, we can see Corinthians just about doing enough to come away with a narrow advantage to take into next week's return leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
CorinthiansDrawGremio
47.58% (0.156 0.16) 25.39% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 27.02% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 52.39% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.83% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (0.070999999999998 0.07)21.37% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (0.111 0.11)54.35% (-0.112 -0.11)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)33.37% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (-0.112 -0.11)69.99% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 47.58%
    Gremio 27.02%
    Draw 25.39%
CorinthiansDrawGremio
1-0 @ 11% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 47.58%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 27.02%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Gremio

Corinthians
41.2%
Draw
41.2%
Gremio
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2024 12am
Gameweek 19
Corinthians
2-2
Gremio
Alberto (25' pen.), Garro (87')
Caca (40')
Ely (2'), Villasanti (76')
Geromel (31'), Ely (34')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 34
Gremio
0-1
Corinthians

Villasanti (45+1'), Suarez (90+7')
Alves (81')
Romero (32')
Caetano (15'), Menezes (18'), Maycon (42'), Romero (48'), Verissimo (74'), Fagner (90+5'), Ruan (90+9')
Mendez (10')
Sep 19, 2023 1am
Gameweek 15
Corinthians
4-4
Gremio
Santos (45' pen.), Verissimo (45+4'), Alberto (45+6'), Giuliano (67')
Santos (40')
Nathan (21'), Cristaldo (27'), Galdino (51'), Suarez (58')
Kannemann (54')
Dec 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Corinthians
1-1
Gremio
Augusto (86')
Guedes (45+1')
Souza (39')
Kannemann (11'), Rafinha (15'), Geromel (45+1')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 1am
Gameweek 18
Gremio
0-1
Corinthians
Souza (82')
Ramos (89'), Victor (90+2')
> Preview
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