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Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Arena do Gremio

Gremio
2 - 0
Vitoria

Soteldo (63'), Reinaldo (90+6' pen.)
Carballo (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Willians Assis Arcanjo (17'), Naldi (23'), Janderson (35'), Kennyd Gabriel Santos (52'), Oliveira (60'), Carpini (71'), Esteves (90+2'), Reynaldo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Vitoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio
Thursday, July 18 at 12am in Brasileiro

Vitoria

All competitions
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-1 Vitoria
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Gremio 2-1 Vitoria

 Vitoria have claimed only one road victory in eight attempts, losing five on their travels, and that sole triumph came against the league's bottom club. Despite Gremio's away scoring form to net a goal in five consecutive road games, the home side's recent improvement on their turf suggests they might turn the corner with their home advantage this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
GremioDrawVitoria
56.3% (0.578 0.58) 23.39% (-0.394 -0.39) 20.3% (-0.188 -0.19)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.914 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (1.361 1.36)48.97% (-1.366 -1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (1.219 1.22)71.05% (-1.224 -1.22)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79% (0.706 0.71)17.2% (-0.71 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (1.232 1.23)47.48% (-1.235 -1.24)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.54% (0.581 0.58)38.45% (-0.586 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.79% (0.551 0.55)75.2% (-0.556 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 56.29%
    Vitoria 20.3%
    Draw 23.39%
GremioDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-0 @ 10.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.066999999999998 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.17 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.123 0.12)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.08 0.08)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 56.29%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.378 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.39%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 20.3%

How you voted: Gremio vs Vitoria

Gremio
77.3%
Draw
9.1%
Vitoria
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 37
Vitoria
0-0
Gremio
Farias (17'), Jeferson (90')
Michel (29'), Kannemann (42'), Santos (51'), Geromel (86')
Aug 12, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 18
Gremio
4-0
Vitoria
Dos Santos (12'), Jailson (21'), Pepe (58'), Everton (82')
Victor (85')

Renato Bonifacio Augusto (33'), Andrade (39'), Kanu (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030
> Brasileiro Full Table


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