MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:28:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Corinthians

Vasco
2 - 0
Corinthians

Piton (55'), Sforza (90+5')
David (3'), Maicon (32'), Lopes Ferreira (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Raniele (28'), Torres (45+1'), Coronado (82'), Giovane (83'), Raul (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Vasco
Sunday, July 7 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-0 Corinthians
Sunday, July 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Vasco da Gama 2-1 Corinthians

While past results between the sides favours Corinthians to come out on top, their struggles away from home offer little optimism heading into Wednesday. Vasco have been tough to crack at the Estadio Sao Januario in recent weeks, and given their new-found form, we are tipping them to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawCorinthians
44.72% (0.055 0.05) 26.8% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 28.48% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.362 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.424 -0.42)55.49% (0.426 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.32% (-0.347 -0.35)76.67% (0.349 0.35)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (-0.161 -0.16)24.7% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (-0.226 -0.23)59.24% (0.229 0.23)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.3% (-0.339 -0.34)34.69% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.58% (-0.359 -0.36)71.42% (0.361 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 44.72%
    Corinthians 28.48%
    Draw 26.79%
Vasco da GamaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 11.98% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.72%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.065 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 28.48%

How you voted: Vasco vs Corinthians

Vasco da Gama
66.7%
Draw
30.6%
Corinthians
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 36
Vasco
2-4
Corinthians
Luis Rodriguez (3'), Vegetti (25')
Capasso (68'), Piton (76'), Vegetti (90+8')
Romero (13', 45'), Moscardo (61'), Giovane (90+4')
Alberto (68'), Miguel (90+5')
Jul 29, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 17
Corinthians
3-1
Vasco
Maycon (19'), Alberto (62'), Guedes (73' pen.)
Caetano (8'), Vera (90+4')
Pec (71')
Feb 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Corinthians
0-0
Vasco
Fagner (31')
Magno (31'), Junior (86')
Oct 22, 2020 1.30am
Gameweek 18
Vasco
1-2
Corinthians
Ribamar (73')
Castan (26')
Mantuan (23'), Henrique (90' og.)
Ederson (45+1'), Cantillo (59')
Sep 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Corinthians
1-0
Vasco
Ralf (59')
Boselli (45'), Jadson (73'), Cassio (94')

Raul (27'), Bruno (46'), Castan (68'), Pikachu (69'), Danilo (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826


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