MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 11:24:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Corinthians

Vasco
2 - 0
Corinthians

Piton (55'), Sforza (90+5')
David (3'), Maicon (32'), Lopes Ferreira (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Raniele (28'), Torres (45+1'), Coronado (82'), Giovane (83'), Raul (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Vasco
Sunday, July 7 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-0 Corinthians
Sunday, July 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Vasco da Gama 2-1 Corinthians

While past results between the sides favours Corinthians to come out on top, their struggles away from home offer little optimism heading into Wednesday. Vasco have been tough to crack at the Estadio Sao Januario in recent weeks, and given their new-found form, we are tipping them to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawCorinthians
44.72% (0.055 0.05) 26.8% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 28.48% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.362 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.424 -0.42)55.49% (0.426 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.32% (-0.347 -0.35)76.67% (0.349 0.35)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (-0.161 -0.16)24.7% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (-0.226 -0.23)59.24% (0.229 0.23)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.3% (-0.339 -0.34)34.69% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.58% (-0.359 -0.36)71.42% (0.361 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 44.72%
    Corinthians 28.48%
    Draw 26.79%
Vasco da GamaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 11.98% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.72%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.065 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 28.48%

How you voted: Vasco vs Corinthians

Vasco da Gama
66.7%
Draw
30.6%
Corinthians
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 36
Vasco
2-4
Corinthians
Luis Rodriguez (3'), Vegetti (25')
Capasso (68'), Piton (76'), Vegetti (90+8')
Romero (13', 45'), Moscardo (61'), Giovane (90+4')
Alberto (68'), Miguel (90+5')
Jul 29, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 17
Corinthians
3-1
Vasco
Maycon (19'), Alberto (62'), Guedes (73' pen.)
Caetano (8'), Vera (90+4')
Pec (71')
Feb 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Corinthians
0-0
Vasco
Fagner (31')
Magno (31'), Junior (86')
Oct 22, 2020 1.30am
Gameweek 18
Vasco
1-2
Corinthians
Ribamar (73')
Castan (26')
Mantuan (23'), Henrique (90' og.)
Ederson (45+1'), Cantillo (59')
Sep 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Corinthians
1-0
Vasco
Ralf (59')
Boselli (45'), Jadson (73'), Cassio (94')

Raul (27'), Bruno (46'), Castan (68'), Pikachu (69'), Danilo (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo32207552262667
2PalmeirasPalmeiras32187753272661
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo32177851371458
5InternacionalInternacional321511644281656
6Sao Paulo321661045331254
7Bahia32137124240246
8Cruzeiro32128123634244
9Vasco da GamaVasco32127133646-1043
10Atletico Mineiro311011104246-441
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Corinthians32911123740-338
14Fluminense32107152834-637
15CriciumaCriciuma32910133846-837
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3267192450-2625


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