Vasco2 - 0Corinthians
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 7 at 10pm in Brasileiro
for
Sunday, July 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro
for
We said: Vasco da Gama 2-1 Corinthians
While past results between the sides favours Corinthians to come out on top, their struggles away from home offer little optimism heading into Wednesday. Vasco have been tough to crack at the Estadio Sao Januario in recent weeks, and given their new-found form, we are tipping them to secure all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.
Result | ||
Vasco da Gama | Draw | Corinthians |
44.72% ( 0.05) | 26.8% ( 0.09) | 28.48% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 49.17% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.51% ( -0.42) | 55.49% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.32% ( -0.35) | 76.67% ( 0.35) |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% ( -0.16) | 24.7% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.76% ( -0.23) | 59.24% ( 0.23) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.3% ( -0.34) | 34.69% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.58% ( -0.36) | 71.42% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Vasco da Gama | Draw | Corinthians |
1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.72% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 28.48% |
How you voted: Vasco vs Corinthians
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 67 |
2 | PalmeirasPalmeiras | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 61 |
3 | FortalezaFortaleza | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 60 |
4 | FlamengoFlamengo | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 58 |
5 | InternacionalInternacional | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 56 |
6 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 54 |
7 | Bahia | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Vasco da GamaVasco | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 43 |
10 | Atletico Mineiro | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 41 |
11 | Gremio | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 39 |
12 | Vitoria | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 38 |
13 | Corinthians | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 38 |
14 | Fluminense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 37 |
15 | CriciumaCriciuma | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 37 |
16 | BragantinoBragantino | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 35 |
17 | Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 34 |
18 | JuventudeJuventude | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 34 |
19 | Cuiaba | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 28 |
20 | Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 25 |
> Brasileiro Full Table |