MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:37:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Fortaleza

Vasco
2 - 0
Fortaleza

Carvalho (45+3'), Vegetti (63')
Maicon (37'), Moura (52'), David (64'), Piton (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martin Lucero (35'), Titi (65'), Rossetto (67')
Hercules (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last Game: Vasco 1-1 Botafogo
Saturday, June 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Fortaleza

All competitions
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Juventude
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Vasco da Gama 1-1 Fortaleza

 While Vasco have lost every single away game, they have looked a better team on home soil, and their chances of getting something in this game is increased by Fortaleza's poor away record - considering these factors, we have settled for a score draw in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawFortaleza
38.32% (-1.181 -1.18) 25.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 36.04% (1.164 1.16)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39% (0.054000000000002 0.05)48.61% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.27% (0.050000000000001 0.05)70.73% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)24.9% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (-0.843 -0.84)59.52% (0.844 0.84)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (0.709 0.71)26.17% (-0.709 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (0.94 0.94)61.25% (-0.939 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 38.32%
    Fortaleza 36.04%
    Draw 25.64%
Vasco da GamaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 9.06% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 38.32%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.155 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.218 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.144 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.058 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 36.04%

How you voted: Vasco vs Fortaleza

Vasco da Gama
32.6%
Draw
34.8%
Fortaleza
32.6%
46
Head to Head
May 22, 2024 1.30am
Third Round 1st Leg
Vasco
3-3
Fortaleza
(Aggregate 3-3 | Vasco win 5-4 on penalties)
Vegetti (17' pen., 65'), Piton (76')
Victor (27'), Payet (71'), Henrique (81')
Marinho (8'), Martin Lucero (54'), Hercules (89')
Marinho (81')
> Preview
May 1, 2024
11pm
Third Round
Fortaleza  
vs.
  Vasco
Oct 19, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 27
Vasco
1-0
Fortaleza
Payet (58')
Pec (3'), Gomes (24'), Carvalho (83')

Escobar (44'), Pikachu (54')
> Preview
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Fortaleza
2-0
Vasco
Galhardo (87'), Romero (90+4')
Hercules (42'), Ricardo (90+1'), Pikachu (90+7')

Capasso (5')
Feb 10, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 35
Fortaleza
3-0
Vasco
Torres (7'), David (44'), Romarinho (63')
Dias (66'), Juninho (77')

Alves (31'), Castan (60'), Tenorio (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!