Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Palmeiras in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.