Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 23, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Santa Cruz
Botafogo SP0 - 0Palmeiras
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Independiente
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
We said: Botafogo SP 0-3 Palmeiras (Palmeiras advances 5-1 on aggregate)
While Botafogo have kept their matches close, we find it difficult to believe they can do anything except simply fend off the balanced Palmeiras attack for a while. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Botafogo SP had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.5%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Botafogo SP win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo SP | Draw | Palmeiras |
16.72% ( -0.11) | 24.71% ( 0.01) | 58.56% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 41.43% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
