Brasileiro | Gameweek 19

Aug 16, 2023 at 12am UK

Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
2 - 0
Cuiaba

Canobbio (45'), Zapelli (82')
Fernandinho (34'), Carvalho (35'), Caca (40'), Erick (45+2'), Canobbio (67'), Heleno (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rikelme (36'), Deyverson (40'), Empereur (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Cuiaba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Bolivar (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cuiaba

All competitions

Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Flamengo
Monday, August 7 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Cuiaba
53.09% ( 0.03)	25.72% ( -0.12)	21.19% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 45.51% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.15% (

0.51)

56.85% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.22% (

0.41)

77.78% (

-0.41)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.52% (

0.22)

21.48% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.48% (

0.34)

54.52% (

-0.34)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.96% (

0.39)

42.04% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.53% (

0.34)

78.47% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 53.08%

Cuiaba 21.19%

Draw 25.72%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 13.88% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.08%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.19%