Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Rovaniemen Palloseura had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Rovaniemen Palloseura win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.